Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.647790 2.948384 3.273582 3.652257 4.081977 4.555492 5.118161
2025-02-16 2.177207 2.575088 3.036278 3.613090 4.318986 5.159516 6.243263
2025-02-23 1.901552 2.352405 2.902774 3.629721 4.573022 5.767095 7.411208
2025-03-02 1.657583 2.123689 2.716274 3.533657 4.645514 6.124973 8.275970
2025-03-09 1.490555 1.967416 2.595095 3.493911 4.767898 6.539448 9.243631
2025-03-16 1.354173 1.834193 2.485449 3.449250 4.866185 6.915938 10.186174
2025-03-23 1.293970 1.797075 2.500048 3.574546 5.212385 7.677114 11.789016
2025-03-30 1.204355 1.708754 2.431548 3.567616 5.354703 8.138969 12.971924
2025-04-06 1.120615 1.620979 2.354605 3.537488 5.452941 8.534829 14.086988
2025-04-13 1.009398 1.483269 2.191175 3.356761 5.289989 8.484986 14.423472
2025-04-20 0.956496 1.429868 2.151649 3.367791 5.439078 8.966005 15.755460
2025-04-27 0.916467 1.393058 2.134375 3.411959 5.645526 9.563222 17.374608
2025-05-04 0.877006 1.355527 2.114902 3.453820 5.857689 10.204117 19.190865
2025-05-11 0.839158 1.317900 2.092355 3.488244 6.059890 10.849739 21.114424
2025-05-18 0.804013 1.282036 2.069628 3.519494 6.257942 11.507771 23.160442
2025-05-25 0.750756 1.212173 1.983983 3.429888 6.218131 11.694344 24.215970
2025-06-01 0.710946 1.162496 1.929462 3.392126 6.273227 12.074492 25.754289
2025-06-08 0.673578 1.114634 1.874729 3.349085 6.312810 12.425127 27.275230
2025-06-15 0.664001 1.114704 1.905151 3.470240 6.695222 13.544709 30.811886
2025-06-22 0.636372 1.080839 1.871516 3.463547 6.811342 14.096236 33.034392
2025-06-29 0.607627 1.043228 1.828443 3.434425 6.876466 14.539695 35.051704
2025-07-06 0.561596 0.971526 1.717354 3.259696 6.610142 14.191606 34.912802
2025-07-13 0.542525 0.948669 1.697423 3.270362 6.753770 14.822465 37.551899